
Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Alignment Healthcare Inc is strategically positioned to leverage the anticipated stronger 2026 Medicare Advantage (MA) rate update, particularly as competing managed care organizations (MCOs) reduce benefits. The company's integrated Medicare Advantage and value-based care (MA-VBC) model is expected to facilitate long-term market share growth and above-average financial performance. Additionally, gross profit per member per month (PMPM) for initial cohorts is projected to rise significantly, suggesting a favorable trajectory for profitability as they advance through their membership lifecycle.
Bears say
Alignment Healthcare Inc. faces a negative outlook as it grapples with challenges related to its value-based care (VBC) model, which can be hindered by data friction among different payors and variability in outcomes from employed or affiliated primary care providers (PCPs). Despite achieving a lower average daily cost (ADK) during a period of increased healthcare utilization, the sustainability of such performance remains uncertain, raising concerns about long-term operational reliability. Additionally, while the company operates with a valuation multiple above the long-term range of peer Managed Care Organizations (MCOs), this approach may not adequately reflect the underlying risks and complexities of its healthcare delivery model.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Alignment Healthcare and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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