
CoreCivic (CXW) Stock Forecast & Price Target
CoreCivic (CXW) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
CoreCivic has a positive outlook driven by the potential for significant revenue growth, with an anticipated $2.5 billion run rate expected by mid-2026, suggesting an increase in annualized revenue potential well beyond the existing projected levels. The company is also seeing adjusted EPS, FFO per share, and EBITDA estimates for FY25 revised upward, reflecting improvements driven by new facility activations and the utilization of idle beds, including key projects like the completion of the Dilley facility and the California City facility. Furthermore, strong operational efficiency is underscored by stable leverage ratios, which remain within target ranges as management plans aggressive share repurchases to capitalize on perceived undervaluation.
Bears say
CoreCivic's third-quarter 2025 financial results fell short of expectations, with adjusted EPS and NFFO of $0.24 and $0.48, respectively, significantly below both the company's forecasts and consensus estimates, primarily due to startup expenses and lower net operating income from the Safety segment. The reduced guidance for fiscal year 2025 indicates a downward revision in expectations for adjusted EPS, NFFO per share, and EBITDA, reflecting challenges related to contract activations and delays in facility openings, particularly at the Midwest Regional Center. Furthermore, the company's future funding prospects are hindered by increasing reputation risks among regulators and lenders and a growing focus on ESG concerns from investors, which may negatively impact the company’s ability to secure capital and maintain revenue-generating contracts.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of CoreCivic and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
CoreCivic (CXW) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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