
LOB Stock Forecast & Price Target
LOB Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Live Oak Bancshares is supported by a strong fundamental growth engine, with 20%+ annualized balance sheet growth, 66% quarter-over-quarter commercial loan production growth, and record loan pipelines of $4.6B indicating durable originations. Its earnings power is reinforced by strong NII, fee momentum, stable-to-improving NIM in the 3.30–3.35% range through 2H26, and low-cost funding gains from business checking and relationship deposits that should help sustain mid-teens NII growth and improve efficiency. Although provisions and non-guaranteed NPAs remain elevated due to distillery exit cleanup and idiosyncratic credits, the credit inflection appears manageable and the current valuation at 8.3x 2027 EPS and 1.1x 2027 TBV already reflects that delay.
Bears say
Live Oak Bancshares is under pressure from deteriorating credit trends, with the NCO ratio rising to 1.00% and unguaranteed nonperforming historical-cost loans increasing to 1.05% of HFI loans, while provision expense jumped to $55mm versus the $38mm forecast. The company’s exposure to a deeper small business recession, the exited distillery portfolio, and additional reserves tied to loan growth and multiple relationships across three verticals suggest asset quality risk could remain elevated and weigh on earnings. Capital is also weakening, as CET1 fell 48 bps q/q to 9.94%, TBV/share slipped to $26.05, and AOCI losses widened to $85mm, limiting flexibility if credit or rate pressures intensify.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Live Oak Bancshares and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
LOB Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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LOB Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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