
PGY Stock Forecast & Price Target
PGY Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Pagaya Technologies Ltd demonstrated a significant improvement in its financial performance, with EBITDA rising 88% year-over-year to $64 million and total revenue growing by 28% y/y, exceeding expectations. The company’s unit economics are enhancing, evidenced by a 132 basis point increase in the FRLPC margin to 4.5% and a continuing trend of positive pricing power reflected in a 115% growth in fee revenue after production costs. Furthermore, Pagaya is making progress towards GAAP net income profitability, achieving adjusted EBITDA margins of 23% for the sixth consecutive quarter, highlighting the company’s robust operational setup and optimistic outlook for 2024 amidst a supportive pricing environment.
Bears say
Pagaya Technologies Ltd has experienced a significant decline in its share price, dropping 38% in the month following a previous spike, indicating investor concern over its future performance amidst challenging macroeconomic conditions and increasing default rates in the credit industry. The company faces potential revenue and cash flow impacts due to its limited cushion on 2023 vintage loans, where even minor credit performance deviations could lead to substantial impairments. Moreover, uncertainties regarding the effectiveness of its AI technology in existing markets, difficulties in retaining and attracting partners, and evolving regulatory frameworks present additional risks that could adversely affect Pagaya's financial metrics.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Pagaya Technologies Ltd and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
PGY Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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