
Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Toll Brothers (TOL) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Toll Brothers, as the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States, is experiencing an uptick in both foot and web traffic despite typically slow seasonal trends, signaling strong consumer interest. The company projects growth in the low end of the 7% to 10% range for FY26, underscoring its resilience even amidst variable demand conditions in certain markets. Additionally, an elevated conversion rate of approximately 80% from deposit to order in F3Q25, significantly above the historical average of 60%, highlights improved sales efficiency and buyer confidence.
Bears say
Toll Brothers has revised its projected deliveries downward to 11,200 units, reflecting a cautious outlook in a challenging market environment. Despite maintaining an average delivered price per home at approximately $950,000 to $960,000 and an adjusted home sales gross margin of 27.25%, the unchanged figures indicate stagnation in cost management and pricing power amidst a flat lumber and materials cost landscape. The consistent SG&A as a percentage of home sales revenues at 9.4% to 9.5% suggests potential inefficiencies, which could further hinder profitability as market competition intensifies for luxury homes within a $1 million plus price point.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Toll Brothers and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Toll Brothers (TOL) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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